DavidPerez6959
0x997f25da53d08ffd540952c36983099aee1cb3c2
- Realised P&L
- $963.56
- Volume
- $109.1k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $172.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? · Yes | 0.342 | 0.162 | $94.15 | −$105.23 |
| Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.100 | $65.50 | −$45.85 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.915 | $6.41 | +$1.29 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.260 | $5.46 | −$4.20 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 1.000 | $1.00 | +$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$774.80at 0.350Will Trump say "Japan" during the State of the Union address?
- +$558.81at 0.370Games Total: O/U 2.5
- +$268.38at 0.210Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
- +$250.24at 0.320Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
- +$121.36at 0.773Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 14:28 | SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | SELL | 0.67 | $240.53 |
| 04-13 18:02 | US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.766 | $756.81 |
| 04-13 09:59 | Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.79 | $429.76 |
| 04-13 04:24 | Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.78 | $6.24 |
| 04-12 21:47 | Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $426.60 |
| 04-12 15:20 | Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $197.20 |
| 04-12 09:51 | Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.7 | $248.50 |
| 04-12 01:04 | Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.71 | $19.17 |
| 04-12 01:03 | Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.7 | $119.00 |
| 04-11 22:14 | Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $734.50 |
| 04-11 17:27 | SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | SELL | 0.58 | $275.50 |
| 04-11 08:36 | Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | SELL | 0.919 | $703.95 |
| 04-11 08:35 | Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | SELL | 0.919 | $288.57 |
| 04-10 23:18 | Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April? | BUY | 0.75 | $828.00 |
| 04-09 14:46 | Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%? | SELL | 0.69 | $237.36 |