0x99611162d8908858c641b9F79da3Ff5007473983-1768915797407
0x99611162d8908858c641b9f79da3ff5007473983
- Realised P&L
- $-13.33
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 204
- Open portfolio
- $8.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded204
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.43at 0.030S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?
- +$4.00at 0.200S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?
- +$3.40at 0.604Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
- +$3.33at 0.430S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 21?
- +$3.13at 0.390UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:43 | US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.1119999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 03:37 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1619999958 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 03:35 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 15:55 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.982 | $1.07 |
| 09-02 14:54 | Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.13 |
| 08-28 21:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.976 | $1.20 |
| 08-27 19:19 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1189999 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 16:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8119999091 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 18:13 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during his rally with Darline Graham? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 16:30 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 16:30 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 16:28 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 16:28 | UFC Fight Night: Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 16:22 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 16:21 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |