PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x99611162d8908858c641b9F79da3Ff5007473983-1768915797407

0x99611162d8908858c641b9f79da3ff5007473983

Realised P&L
$-13.33
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
204
Open portfolio
$8.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded204
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.1620.161$2.97$0.03
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat? · Yes0.7400.835$1.13+$0.13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.955$1.01+$0.01
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.8900.875$0.98$0.02
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? · No0.1120.106$0.95$0.05
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · Yes0.6900.570$0.83$0.17
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.1220.046$0.76$1.24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? · No0.7090.000$0.00$0.78
UFC Fight Night: Dione Barbosa vs. Anna Melisano (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) · Anna Melisano0.1700.000$0.00$1.00
O/U 0.5 Rounds · Over0.9500.000$0.00$1.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 22? · Down0.2690.000$0.00$12.92
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 2? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
UFC Fight Night: Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) · Jeisla Chaves0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) · Gillian Robertson0.3300.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 03:43US x China tariff agreement by December 31?BUY0.1119999928$1.00
09-17 03:37Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.1619999958$3.00
09-17 03:35Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94999962$1.00
09-07 15:55Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.982$1.07
09-02 14:54Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.08$0.13
08-28 21:17Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.976$1.20
08-27 19:19Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.1189999$1.00
08-23 16:38Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.8119999091$1.00
08-21 18:13Will Trump say "Transgender" during his rally with Darline Graham?BUY0.089999919$1.00
08-17 16:30Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?BUY0.74$1.00
08-17 16:30Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-17 16:28O/U 0.5 RoundsBUY0.95$1.00
08-17 16:28UFC Fight Night: Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)BUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-17 16:22O/U 0.5 RoundsBUY0.9399999624$1.00
08-17 16:21Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.8899994126$1.00