0x995f1ceaf561264880dbdb2985d88ac071d0414d
0x995f1ceaf561264880dbdb2985d88ac071d0414d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.11
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $10.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.29at 0.065Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?
- +$6.83at 0.133Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 17?
- +$4.16at 0.006Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
- +$3.98at 0.208Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?
- +$3.92at 0.479Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 13:48 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 13:15 | Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.20 |
| 08-07 13:06 | Will Patrick Bailey win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.24 |
| 08-07 13:06 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.06 |
| 07-31 08:23 | Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.18 |
| 07-31 06:16 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.48 |
| 07-31 06:10 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 06:05 | Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.47 |
| 07-31 06:04 | Will Sassuolo win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.47 |
| 07-31 06:04 | Will Venezia win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.58 |
| 07-31 06:04 | Will Cagliari win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 07-31 05:56 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 07-31 05:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 1? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.50 |
| 07-31 05:50 | Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 07-31 05:50 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $2.81 |