PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

melody233

0x9940cfb316cc7dff5411a1ad6aef344d0adfb140

Realised P&L
$468.40
Volume
$1.41M
Markets traded
196
Open portfolio
$19.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded196
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9330.958$16.5k+$428.69
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.1300.780$624.00+$520.00
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2500.966$512.97+$380.15
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.0900.575$319.44+$269.44
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.3900.895$268.49+$151.49
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8250.961$249.73+$35.33
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.945$189.00+$89.00
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1800.915$183.00+$147.00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8700.962$110.52+$10.52
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.6990.685$88.04$1.86
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.2900.645$44.48+$24.48
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · Yes0.9250.560$29.06$18.94
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9570.986$20.61+$0.61
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · No0.8400.863$20.54+$0.54
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? · Yes0.8650.035$6.84$164.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 13:27LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.08$4.16
09-09 13:25LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.1939111887$10.00
09-05 14:32Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto PlayoffsBUY0.179999928$2.00
09-05 14:22Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.956$601.13
09-05 14:19Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto PlayoffsSELL0.19$6.78
09-05 14:10Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto PlayoffsBUY0.2799999854$10.00
09-04 17:34Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.98$100.00
09-04 17:32Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.6994729957$89.90
08-19 22:12Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSELL0.999$21.71
08-19 20:35Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.4599999844$10.00
07-13 15:33Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 13?BUY0.999$105.00
06-08 03:54Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
06-08 02:55Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY0.001$9.00
06-08 02:54Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY0.001$10.00
06-08 02:54Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY0.001$10.00