PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

melody233

0x9940cfb316cc7dff5411a1ad6aef344d0adfb140

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$1.42M
Markets traded
216
Open portfolio
$23.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded216
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9330.973$16.8k+$687.49
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.8950.966$859.25+$62.43
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · No0.9300.975$733.49+$33.50
Will Abstract launch a token by March 31, 2027? · No0.8410.961$571.34+$71.34
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2500.909$482.95+$350.13
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.8580.955$445.20+$45.20
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.7710.974$382.53+$79.68
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch · No0.6520.620$355.43−$18.55
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.1830.180$346.98−$6.34
Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2027? · No0.8880.959$323.96+$23.96
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.0900.570$316.67+$266.67
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6800.735$307.33+$22.75
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9640.980$304.97+$4.97
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8250.975$253.37+$38.97
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.6750.650$226.67−$8.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 11:37Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?BUY0.0304260102$30.00
10-27 16:42Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?BUY0.09$1.80
10-27 16:42Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?BUY0.0462182851$20.00
10-26 18:07Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$10.00
10-26 18:06Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
10-26 17:58Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2$2.00
10-26 17:56Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.6805905101$284.58
10-26 17:44Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.1887128781$137.32
10-26 17:34Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?BUY0.6840985706$133.53
10-26 17:33Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1716292957$100.00
10-26 17:28Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.92$275.98
10-26 17:28Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.7969125$637.53
10-26 08:49Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?BUY0.0688759841$40.24
10-25 08:31Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?BUY0.19$200.00
10-25 07:52Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?BUY0.17$10.88