melody233
0x9940cfb316cc7dff5411a1ad6aef344d0adfb140
- Realised P&L
- $468.40
- Volume
- $1.41M
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $19.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$273.80at 0.934Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
- +$229.04at 0.968Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
- +$189.40at 0.001Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO (BO3)
- +$164.40at 0.939Solana all time high before 2026?
- +$160.62at 0.839Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 13:27 | LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.16 |
| 09-09 13:25 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1939111887 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 14:32 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 09-05 14:22 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.956 | $601.13 |
| 09-05 14:19 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | SELL | 0.19 | $6.78 |
| 09-05 14:10 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 17:34 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 17:32 | Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6994729957 | $89.90 |
| 08-19 22:12 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $21.71 |
| 08-19 20:35 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 15:33 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $105.00 |
| 06-08 03:54 | Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 02:55 | Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $9.00 |
| 06-08 02:54 | Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 02:54 | Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |