ursweetie
0x993607c797babdfdf05c4ebed3a621552063b541
- Realised P&L
- $-88.40
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $112.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.037 | $74.00 | −$48.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20? · No | 0.650 | 1.000 | $19.99 | +$6.99 |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.185 | $18.50 | +$6.50 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.13at 0.471US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$0.19at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 20:33 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.038 | $42.22 |
| 09-19 06:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.65 | $2.80 |
| 09-19 06:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-19 06:44 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 01-31 22:42 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999991 | $80.00 |
| 01-31 22:41 | US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.1757821014 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 22:41 | US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 01-31 22:39 | Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 22:39 | Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? | BUY | 0.1399999962 | $30.00 |
| 01-28 19:20 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999971 | $39.00 |
| 01-26 00:24 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 01-26 00:23 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 01-26 00:20 | US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.0407509805 | $20.00 |