SuperFake
0x99012d12a47cb06e777cbacb156dbd82edfc6046
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $1.15M
- Markets traded
- 1,169
- Open portfolio
- $91.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,169
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.3kat 0.742Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
- +$5.5kat 0.783Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
- +$5.1kat 0.779Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
- +$3.6kat 0.813Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
- +$3.0kat 0.804Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 10:16 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.93 | $2.6k |
| 09-18 10:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | SELL | 0.9634448554 | $216.21 |
| 09-18 10:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | SELL | 0.9671825397 | $487.46 |
| 09-18 10:13 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.1038746194 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 10:13 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.0867829558 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 14:37 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.200138112 | $687.31 |
| 09-17 11:16 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.93 | $223.20 |
| 09-17 11:15 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.9395434754 | $1.4k |
| 09-17 06:31 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399998992 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 06:29 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.1k |
| 09-17 06:27 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.43 | $199.95 |
| 09-16 19:23 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.4234293551 | $260.91 |
| 09-16 08:00 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.46 | $6.90 |
| 09-15 20:21 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:48 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.8k |