PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SuperFake

0x99012d12a47cb06e777cbacb156dbd82edfc6046

Realised P&L
$-8.8k
Volume
$955.1k
Markets traded
1,130
Open portfolio
$87.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,130
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8950.915$43.9k+$954.14
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No0.9630.976$12.1k+$161.07
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.8430.885$7.9k+$373.92
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.8950.962$7.9k+$551.17
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.8030.830$7.4k+$235.60
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.6790.685$1.8k+$16.47
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.6950.775$1.7k+$171.80
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Yes0.6290.580$1.6k$131.78
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3430.295$1.5k$242.63
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · Yes0.8600.840$1.2k$27.10
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1270.191$132.54+$44.26
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3920.115$14.38$34.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00$50.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Down0.4710.000$0.00$77.99
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Down0.4760.000$0.00$150.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:08Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.98$28.06
08-02 21:08Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.98$98.00
08-02 21:07Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.86$17.20
08-02 20:59Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.9895011971$198.38
08-02 20:59Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.97$8.73
08-02 20:59Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.9751243771$50.00
08-02 20:59Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.96$50.00
08-02 20:59Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.96$50.00
08-02 20:59Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.96$50.00
08-02 20:59Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.96$50.00
08-02 20:59Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.95$50.00
08-02 20:59Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.95$50.00
08-02 20:59Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.9258706158$50.00
08-02 20:59Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.92$50.00
08-02 20:59Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.92$50.00