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Traders

AChad

0x98d13dfa17ade5cc64d75a409bc3d1150ba6ed25

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$29.4k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? · No0.4580.755$2.7k+$1.1k
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.5560.730$392.25+$93.25
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7060.705$376.54−$0.46
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? · Yes0.4890.390$159.42−$40.58
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · No0.3190.425$109.23+$27.23
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1710.028$12.58−$64.42
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? · No0.6600.969$11.85+$3.78
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$38.40
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Chicago Cubs0.4900.000$0.00−$33.00
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.5840.000$0.00−$424.44
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? · No0.6870.000$0.00−$201.07
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 3? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 3? · Yes0.4910.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? · No0.2350.000$0.00−$120.00
Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$74.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 00:15Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7$155.00
10-05 00:13Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099999998$222.00
10-05 00:10Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?BUY0.4419642837$55.00
10-05 00:10Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.649999997$77.00
09-17 22:36Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?BUY0.5099999991$145.00
09-17 22:32Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5299999994$222.00
09-17 22:29Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7659743152$133.00
09-17 22:29Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3190473377$82.00
09-06 22:27Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1713829947$77.00
09-02 23:16Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 3?BUY0.490773459$25.00
09-02 23:16Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on September 3?BUY0.1506562965$20.00
09-02 23:14Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 4?BUY0.0371887729$10.00
09-02 23:14Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 3?BUY0.3505176737$15.00
09-02 23:07Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?SELL0.959200071$297.34
08-03 23:45Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?BUY0.4199999977$100.00
Trader AChad · PolyBot Pro