0x989A0955f8be65d4E0DdBdF22764884a53B57823-1776549895317
0x989a0955f8be65d4e0ddbdf22764884a53b57823
- Realised P&L
- $618.88
- Volume
- $52.7k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $215.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$430.51at 0.487Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
- +$426.74at 0.107Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
- +$393.85at 0.437Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
- +$333.59at 0.190Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$296.40at 0.407Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 00:16 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 00:00 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BUY | 0.62 | $204.60 |
| 09-13 21:13 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.704539954 | $70.45 |
| 09-13 21:12 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.7286665833 | $145.73 |
| 09-13 21:12 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.7269422747 | $76.31 |
| 09-05 12:23 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.84 | $302.40 |
| 07-15 21:09 | Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 01:15 | Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.34 | $51.00 |
| 07-06 01:14 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.3 | $51.00 |
| 07-04 00:08 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.182 | $36.40 |
| 07-03 23:38 | Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | BUY | 0.45 | $135.00 |
| 07-01 06:38 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.296 | $62.16 |
| 06-30 16:58 | Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Joint | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 06-28 01:51 | Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria? | BUY | 0.21 | $50.40 |
| 06-28 01:27 | Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.48 | $403.20 |