0x9897731f83BF0BfD8ee5e1F4235614c96358eb2a-1762272298261
0x9897731f83bf0bfd8ee5e1f4235614c96358eb2a
- Realised P&L
- $-20.62
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $288.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.03at 0.086Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$72.16at 0.499Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 14?
- +$44.00at 0.120Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
- +$43.70at 0.126Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$28.02at 0.541Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 07:47 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $19.37 |
| 10-29 22:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.037 | $4.74 |
| 09-24 04:34 | Spread: Seahawks (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5899999936 | $11.00 |
| 09-16 06:36 | Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 09-15 22:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $14.00 |
| 09-15 22:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 09-15 22:01 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $31.08 |
| 09-06 21:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 09-06 21:21 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.0791193333 | $2.37 |
| 09-06 21:19 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-06 21:17 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.077 | $1.08 |
| 09-06 21:16 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.079 | $2.45 |
| 09-06 21:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 09-04 14:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.80 |
| 09-04 14:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $30.40 |