PolyBot

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Traders

0x9897731f83BF0BfD8ee5e1F4235614c96358eb2a-1762272298261

0x9897731f83bf0bfd8ee5e1f4235614c96358eb2a

Realised P&L
$-20.62
Volume
$12.5k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$288.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.3890.655$147.38+$59.85
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.295$111.15+$5.78
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2800.055$10.56−$43.20
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2540.424$8.48+$3.40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4600.365$7.30−$1.90
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0690.038$1.45−$1.15
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.115$1.15−$1.25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1720.154$0.92−$0.11
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.6040.000$0.00−$30.20
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$22.66
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1700.000$0.00−$6.80
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$1.68
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$2.12
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 07:47Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$19.37
10-29 22:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.037$4.74
09-24 04:34Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)BUY0.5899999936$11.00
09-16 06:36Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$2.40
09-15 22:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.35$14.00
09-15 22:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.21$21.00
09-15 22:01Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?BUY0.74$31.08
09-06 21:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.41$2.05
09-06 21:21Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?BUY0.0791193333$2.37
09-06 21:19Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?BUY0.08$1.60
09-06 21:17Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?BUY0.077$1.08
09-06 21:16Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?BUY0.079$2.45
09-06 21:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.41$2.05
09-04 14:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.17$6.80
09-04 14:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.38$30.40