0x9897731f83BF0BfD8ee5e1F4235614c96358eb2a-1762272298261
0x9897731f83bf0bfd8ee5e1f4235614c96358eb2a
- Realised P&L
- $-16.64
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $260.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.03at 0.086Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$96.48at 0.529Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 14?
- +$44.00at 0.120Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
- +$43.70at 0.126Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$28.02at 0.541Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $14.00 |
| 09-15 22:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 09-15 22:01 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $31.08 |
| 09-06 21:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 09-06 21:21 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.0791193333 | $2.37 |
| 09-06 21:19 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-06 21:17 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.077 | $1.08 |
| 09-06 21:16 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.079 | $2.45 |
| 09-06 21:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 09-04 14:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.80 |
| 09-04 14:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $30.40 |
| 07-26 13:26 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.996 | $121.58 |
| 07-22 05:14 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.475 | $2.38 |
| 07-14 16:55 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.041 | $1.23 |
| 07-12 13:47 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.42 |