Besserwisser
0x9879572ddbf1d6aac680587911858c5077b6bc99
- Realised P&L
- $-155.49
- Volume
- $28.5k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $17.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.58at 0.949Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?
- +$30.85at 0.960SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?
- +$22.28at 0.942Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
- +$21.79at 0.802Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
- +$13.43at 0.763Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 07:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.988 | $98.80 |
| 08-05 07:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.944 | $141.60 |
| 07-30 14:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $97.90 |
| 07-13 14:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $980.00 |
| 07-13 14:32 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8910890942 | $55.00 |
| 07-06 10:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $772.80 |
| 07-02 11:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 07-02 11:22 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $296.00 |
| 06-28 13:41 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 06-28 13:41 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.987 | $9.87 |
| 06-28 13:41 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.87 |
| 06-28 13:41 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 06-28 13:41 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 06-28 13:41 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 06-28 13:40 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |