triplebounce
0x9870d9aaef1f01607c86528e3714f8c720ac710f
- Realised P&L
- $4.63
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $135.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? · No | 0.976 | 0.960 | $47.81 | −$0.82 |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · No | 0.973 | 0.920 | $46.12 | −$2.63 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.996 | $40.02 | −$0.06 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.968 | 0.970 | $1.94 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.90at 0.974Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026?
- +$0.81at 0.984Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.80at 0.971Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
- +$0.79at 0.978Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
- +$0.70at 0.950Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 08:45 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.9699999956 | $19.83 |