0x9868786a7c2c6aFb4c3A2D9fc3abeD15875164B0-1773057782256
0x9868786a7c2c6afb4c3a2d9fc3abed15875164b0
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $1.34M
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.1kat 0.367Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$17.2kat 0.457Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
- +$3.0kat 0.645Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
- +$1.8kat 0.218Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.5kat 0.650England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:59 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.4697672663 | $180.45 |
| 11-01 11:58 | Pelicans vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.3299999997 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 11:09 | Kings vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 11:07 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.44 | $42.89 |
| 10-31 04:35 | Lakers vs. Warriors | SELL | 0.92 | $209.09 |
| 10-31 04:12 | Nuggets vs. Suns | SELL | 0.1 | $31.25 |
| 10-31 04:08 | Nuggets vs. Suns | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 03:53 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.2199999993 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 03:52 | Lakers vs. Warriors | SELL | 0.21 | $44.68 |
| 10-31 03:22 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 03:19 | Lakers vs. Warriors | SELL | 0.38 | $96.50 |
| 10-31 03:18 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 03:10 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.2699999978 | $30.00 |
| 10-30 04:12 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.4222108493 | $120.00 |
| 10-18 16:14 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.06 | $50.00 |