0x986538d2d9878b07334ddaeffcb9d5842448054a
0x986538d2d9878b07334ddaeffcb9d5842448054a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.82
- Volume
- $301.11
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $3.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.750 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 6? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.510 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.240 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.225 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.58at 0.239Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$5.28at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.87at 0.320US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.59at 0.339Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$4.01at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 00:22 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:13 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:10 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:49 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:02 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:46 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:20 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:17 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:11 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:03 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:19 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:14 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:57 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 21:55 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:54 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September? | BUY | 0.7659998376 | $1.00 |