pattersonlori
0x9856b1dc0756d756149faf04d8452f30b02814c7
- Realised P&L
- $-66.32
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $79.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.570 | 0.605 | $21.99 | +$1.27 |
| Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.925 | $18.27 | +$5.83 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.865 | $13.83 | +$1.04 |
| Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? · No | 0.660 | 0.745 | $13.19 | +$1.51 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.580 | 0.915 | $12.12 | +$4.44 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.70 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals · Chicago White Sox | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.79at 0.450Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
- +$21.30at 0.996Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$10.36at 0.730Solana above $190 on February 14?
- +$6.79at 0.590Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
- +$5.61at 0.770Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:27 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.76 |
| 01-31 13:23 | Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.82 |
| 01-30 16:51 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $12.77 |
| 01-30 15:31 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $12.28 |
| 01-30 11:46 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.996 | $25.97 |
| 01-30 11:40 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.76 |
| 12-30 11:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.40 |
| 12-30 10:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.93 |
| 12-30 08:47 | US national XRP reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.58 |
| 12-29 22:45 | Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.86 |
| 12-29 19:36 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.991 | $23.58 |
| 10-31 16:12 | Will Solana dip to $150 in October? | BUY | 0.9989999407 | $15.09 |
| 10-31 15:40 | Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.03 |
| 10-30 20:46 | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.75 |
| 09-29 14:30 | Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before October? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.35 |