bumilife
0x97e9b342bc5f27b7ea1ff832638cebd18ae3b860
- Realised P&L
- $-76.78
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $18.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.455 | $12.87 | +$0.42 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.453 | 0.151 | $2.94 | −$5.85 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.056 | $1.61 | −$1.00 |
| Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.046 | $0.42 | −$0.86 |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.007 | $0.35 | −$5.30 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? · Yes | 0.494 | 0.004 | $0.12 | −$14.53 |
| Will Scott Brown be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.35 |
| Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.72 |
| Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama? · Yes | 0.282 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.96 |
| Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.01at 0.021Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$0.98at 0.520Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
- +$0.77at 0.190Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
- +$0.35at 0.070Brex IPO before 2027?
- +$0.09at 0.590US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 23:28 | Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? | SELL | 0.0952029136 | $1.83 |
| 04-23 23:28 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.6215504683 | $5.97 |
| 04-23 23:27 | Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.40 |
| 04-23 23:27 | Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.20 |
| 04-23 23:27 | Will Dathan Jones be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 04-23 23:27 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.073 | $1.42 |
| 04-06 07:38 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.15 |
| 04-06 07:38 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.15 |
| 04-06 07:38 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.15 |
| 03-30 00:20 | Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? | SELL | 0.0374237113 | $0.73 |
| 03-27 04:33 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $5.77 |
| 03-27 04:31 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.08 |
| 03-27 04:31 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3100416233 | $2.98 |
| 03-26 01:32 | Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.08 |
| 03-26 01:31 | Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.08 |