0x97c7acac9c52d5e8988cd85a2ae844915bed44cc
0x97c7acac9c52d5e8988cd85a2ae844915bed44cc
- Realised P&L
- $9.51
- Volume
- $101.10
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $20.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.03at 0.590Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$2.96at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$0.62at 0.622Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 05:16 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:16 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 21:00 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 13:00 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:00 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 20:44 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 11:42 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 00:11 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 10:34 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:32 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:24 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 16:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 07:35 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:53 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:45 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |