PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

asfui8j9

0x9771b8472f3d23b6bbc11c108fe07b425988605e

Realised P&L
$-426.54
Volume
$8.5k
Markets traded
255
Open portfolio
$594.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded255
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by December 31? · No0.5200.515$46.36−$0.45
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher? · No0.5060.929$42.13+$19.19
Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election? · Yes0.5150.940$37.61+$17.00
Will there be a power grid emergency in Texas before October 1? · No0.6700.989$19.77+$6.37
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7100.985$19.69+$5.49
Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2027? · No0.4220.225$17.09−$15.00
Will XRP hit $2 by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.7600.745$14.85−$0.30
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 0%-3%? · No0.8400.790$14.37−$0.91
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? · No0.6300.705$14.10+$1.50
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by December 31? · Yes0.5100.485$13.91−$0.73
Will Rony Paolo Vejarano Pérez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? · Yes0.3110.223$13.36−$5.31
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? · No0.7900.655$13.10−$2.70
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000? · No0.8500.625$12.51−$4.50
Will Abimbola Adekanmbi win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.5000.585$11.70+$1.70
Will Puka Nacua have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.4600.530$10.60+$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 06:57Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?SELL0.17$4.25
08-28 09:05Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?BUY0.53$21.20
08-13 13:06Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 13?SELL0.999$0.20
08-13 13:05Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?SELL0.5$2.33
08-13 13:05Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30?SELL0.429$2.15
08-13 13:05Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?SELL0.33$6.60
08-13 13:05Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?SELL0.6$12.00
08-13 01:20Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 13?SELL0.98$18.65
08-13 01:20Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?SELL0.91$18.20