asfui8j9
0x9771b8472f3d23b6bbc11c108fe07b425988605e
- Realised P&L
- $-426.54
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 255
- Open portfolio
- $594.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded255
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.81at 0.309Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?
- +$24.00at 0.260Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$22.81at 0.620Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?
- +$16.00at 0.730Will Trump say "Presidential Walk of Fame" in August?
- +$15.81at 0.605Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 06:57 | Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election? | SELL | 0.17 | $4.25 |
| 08-28 09:05 | Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | BUY | 0.53 | $21.20 |
| 08-13 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 13? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.20 |
| 08-13 13:05 | Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.33 |
| 08-13 13:05 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.429 | $2.15 |
| 08-13 13:05 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 08-13 13:05 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 08-13 01:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 13? | SELL | 0.98 | $18.65 |
| 08-13 01:20 | Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%? | SELL | 0.91 | $18.20 |