byteA
0x9765b5ff568c548d1620ef99ddd9d290ede1436b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $145.7k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$760.39at 0.878Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
- +$669.98at 0.650Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$624.88at 0.914Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$375.16at 0.672Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
- +$343.12at 0.794Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 14:19 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.6031380331 | $95.74 |
| 09-04 13:39 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $100.00 |
| 09-03 19:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5699999999 | $1.5k |
| 09-03 09:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.866048739 | $500.00 |
| 08-28 15:25 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $111.32 |
| 08-28 15:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $650.00 |
| 08-28 08:28 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.9222827612 | $1.8k |
| 08-27 22:52 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $77.42 |
| 08-27 04:51 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7856306995 | $1.4k |
| 08-27 04:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.5344930549 | $584.13 |
| 08-26 13:38 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9488105817 | $1000.00 |
| 08-24 19:58 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9150264651 | $1000.00 |
| 08-24 13:23 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.36 |
| 08-23 11:27 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8004238233 | $1000.00 |
| 08-20 08:55 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.3k |