Minor-Profile-Embryo
0x974a4e3ebf8678beabc4ad2b80855b8fb4c8f3d6
- Realised P&L
- $3.64
- Volume
- $561.35
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $44.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.161 | $16.84 | +$1.84 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.560 | $9.92 | +$0.35 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.044 | $9.32 | +$5.32 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.355 | $4.33 | −$0.67 |
| Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.183 | $3.99 | −$1.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.07at 0.769Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$-2.43at 0.185Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 12:07 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.5399999763 | $9.57 |
| 10-30 12:04 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 20:34 | Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0188876954 | $4.00 |
| 10-26 20:32 | Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.229540915 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 20:28 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1429999999 | $15.00 |
| 10-26 20:22 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.161 | $13.42 |
| 10-26 20:19 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 14:04 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $15.00 |