wwwmun
0x97426fa80af66ec56e0b6cacc9bdff6c83ade412
- Realised P&L
- $-75.73
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $100.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.315 | $40.44 | −$5.78 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.175 | $20.79 | +$0.79 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.080 | $20.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.145 | $17.06 | −$2.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.013 | $1.37 | −$7.96 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.002 | $0.50 | −$9.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.469 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$21.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.433 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$19.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$8.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.70at 0.361Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?
- +$30.88at 0.385Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?
- +$20.07at 0.275Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$10.75at 0.047Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 29?
- +$10.50at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0779727096 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 18:55 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1683168253 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.98 | $50.88 |
| 08-04 11:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.204895 | $16.39 |
| 08-04 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4332840928 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3851851802 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.477278773 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.41 | $0.70 |
| 08-04 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.2822342857 | $19.76 |
| 08-03 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.82 |
| 08-03 10:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.1275745945 | $10.30 |
| 08-03 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0683798883 | $1.71 |
| 08-03 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.33 |