keko2b
0x9705e2b2edef1d2fa5ff89ff40d10791870ca382
- Realised P&L
- $-422.24
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $177.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.221 | $73.50 | −$26.50 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.879 | $70.36 | +$30.36 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.105 | $33.87 | −$66.13 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.77at 0.430Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$6.65at 0.750Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?
- +$5.07at 0.696Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?
- +$3.57at 0.560New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
- +$-1.00at 0.019Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 16:10 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999984 | $89.31 |
| 11-19 16:01 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 11-19 15:52 | Will NVIDIA say "Omniverse" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.1093044182 | $11.00 |
| 11-19 15:52 | Will NVIDIA say "Gaming" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 11-19 15:51 | Will NVIDIA say "H20" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 11-19 15:46 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.58 | $103.57 |
| 11-09 22:21 | Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | BUY | 0.2099999924 | $19.00 |
| 11-09 15:57 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $40.00 |
| 11-09 15:54 | Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22? | BUY | 0.329999995 | $40.00 |
| 11-09 15:42 | Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699999815 | $7.00 |
| 11-09 15:40 | Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31? | SELL | 0.7313992342 | $105.07 |
| 11-09 15:40 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999971 | $30.00 |
| 11-07 22:31 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2999999982 | $100.00 |
| 11-07 22:28 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.309999998 | $100.00 |
| 11-07 22:11 | Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31? | BUY | 0.6961205196 | $100.00 |