PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x96abb6060954f146738f86bb477b7ccfbe624135

Realised P&L
$317.45
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$580.44

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar16.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season? · Yes0.4351.000$378.00+$213.45
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? · No0.5121.000$110.00+$53.68
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? · Yes0.4000.205$47.92$45.59
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.3300.285$17.39$2.75
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.4880.165$13.70$26.82
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0930.018$7.53$32.65
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2200.065$5.92$14.11
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.3400.000$0.00$3.88
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$20.29
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$11.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-02 02:38Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.419$8.80
04-02 02:37Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.42$8.82
04-02 02:37Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.42$8.82
04-02 02:37Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.42$8.82
04-02 02:37Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.42$8.82
04-02 02:37Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.42$8.82
04-02 02:37Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.42$8.82
04-02 02:36Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.43$9.03
04-02 02:36Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.43$9.03
04-02 02:36Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.43$9.03
04-02 02:36Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.449$9.43
04-02 02:36Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.44$9.24
04-02 02:36Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.44$9.24
04-02 02:36Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.45$9.45
04-02 01:59Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?BUY0.4$10.40