PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Perba

0x96a6b18c55ef4b817e456bf43fd4cb64b9893a08

Realised P&L
$-28.22
Volume
$20.1k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9980.998$899.55−$0.45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1? · Yes0.9930.998$111.54+$0.54
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? · No0.9780.978$49.97−$0.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? · No0.9770.970$49.62−$0.38
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9700.997$20.55+$0.55
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9590.984$15.39+$0.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 09:48Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.998$900.00
10-01 09:48Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?BUY0.9779999999$50.00
10-01 09:47Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?BUY0.9769999998$50.00
10-01 09:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1?BUY0.9931745019$111.00
07-18 19:22Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.986$877.00
07-18 19:22Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.985$400.00
04-05 19:04Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.95$14.89
03-22 13:07Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
03-22 13:07Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.81$3.00
03-22 13:06Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.998$776.43
03-22 13:06Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.999$777.22
10-02 14:18Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?BUY0.95$3.00
10-02 14:18Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?BUY0.9849999967$3.00
10-02 14:18Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?BUY0.96$3.00
10-02 14:17Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?SELL0.002$9.33