PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mick888

0x969c7281adbf30342e7f35be4afccfb091833dd1

Realised P&L
$-727.61
Volume
$87.5k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$260.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8400.962$96.15+$12.15
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No0.4200.685$68.49+$26.50
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2300.545$40.88+$23.63
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0750.044$26.70$18.30
Maduro guilty of all counts? · Yes0.3800.205$20.50$17.50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.038$7.70$20.30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$75.50
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$20.40
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$12.00
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$16.10
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18? · No0.0200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No0.0180.000$0.00$374.02
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$15.04
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$21.60
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$3.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 22:56Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.042$10.50
06-25 02:27Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?BUY0.3$12.00
06-25 01:40Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.41$12.30
06-25 01:39Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.42$12.60
06-23 13:15Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.51$20.40
06-23 00:35Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5099999986$50.00
06-22 23:10Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.51$25.50
06-22 14:56Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.45$18.00
06-21 06:17Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.018$5.04
06-21 05:51Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.02$10.00
06-20 00:58Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?BUY0.039$2.11
06-18 08:09Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.24$4.80
06-18 08:07Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.04$4.00
06-18 08:03Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.24$4.80
06-17 12:38Will England win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.57$28.50