mick888
0x969c7281adbf30342e7f35be4afccfb091833dd1
- Realised P&L
- $-727.61
- Volume
- $87.5k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $260.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$176.00at 0.413First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
- +$91.69at 0.430Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$81.90at 0.181Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
- +$76.12at 0.556Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$49.70at 0.448Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 22:56 | Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.042 | $10.50 |
| 06-25 02:27 | Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $12.00 |
| 06-25 01:40 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.41 | $12.30 |
| 06-25 01:39 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.42 | $12.60 |
| 06-23 13:15 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 06-23 00:35 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |
| 06-22 23:10 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.51 | $25.50 |
| 06-22 14:56 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.45 | $18.00 |
| 06-21 06:17 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.018 | $5.04 |
| 06-21 05:51 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 00:58 | Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | BUY | 0.039 | $2.11 |
| 06-18 08:09 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 06-18 08:07 | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 06-18 08:03 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 06-17 12:38 | Will England win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |