0x967C8A52350b43A8E7B8ab250860D7CF1e042B0A-1767497531748
0x967c8a52350b43a8e7b8ab250860d7cf1e042b0a
- Realised P&L
- $-294.37
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $220.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.15at 0.509Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
- +$44.39at 0.403Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 6?
- +$27.47at 0.154Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.77at 0.650Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 5?
- +$8.57at 0.700Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:43 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $39.30 |
| 08-02 02:38 | 100kt meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.933 | $9.71 |
| 08-02 02:37 | Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $11.57 |
| 08-02 02:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 07:14 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0251465953 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 07:13 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 16:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0624451718 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 15:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0699999969 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 15:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0230000001 | $6.00 |
| 07-31 15:51 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0229999944 | $4.00 |
| 07-31 15:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 06:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.439999993 | $30.00 |
| 07-30 01:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 01:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 00:51 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |