Grateful-Referendum-Eyeglasses
0x9676185b723e5577affa85fd8a2c61b8f6bc9da7
- Realised P&L
- $75.88
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $145.67
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.24at 0.188Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$40.45at 0.110Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$29.57at 0.261Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$28.32at 0.156Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$22.61at 0.477England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 19:22 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.6699999982 | $11.00 |
| 10-26 20:18 | Will PP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.2303999971 | $12.00 |
| 10-20 21:23 | Will voter turnout be between 66% and 68% in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 10-20 21:21 | Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $15.00 |
| 10-20 21:12 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 10-19 15:56 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299999889 | $13.00 |
| 10-19 13:08 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 13:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7689999509 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 12:17 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | BUY | 0.3899999902 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 21:30 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.06 |
| 07-19 21:30 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.19 |
| 07-19 21:15 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.206 | $11.84 |
| 07-16 19:38 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 22:04 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 21:38 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.642999993 | $30.00 |