PolyBot

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Traders

Grateful-Referendum-Eyeglasses

0x9676185b723e5577affa85fd8a2c61b8f6bc9da7

Realised P&L
$75.88
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$145.67

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 19:22Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.6699999982$11.00
10-26 20:18Will PP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.2303999971$12.00
10-20 21:23Will voter turnout be between 66% and 68% in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.28$14.00
10-20 21:21Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.1699999983$15.00
10-20 21:12Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.38$19.00
10-19 15:562026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6299999889$13.00
10-19 13:08Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2899999968$10.00
10-19 13:08Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7689999509$10.00
08-01 12:17No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?BUY0.3899999902$20.00
07-19 21:30Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.004$0.06
07-19 21:30Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.004$0.19
07-19 21:15Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.206$11.84
07-16 19:38Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.25$10.00
07-15 22:04Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
07-15 21:38Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.642999993$30.00