yypao
0x966a8c805f7d68494400942dc2f087b8739380d0
- Realised P&L
- $0.41
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $29.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.982 | $9.81 | +$0.61 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.971 | 0.996 | $5.08 | +$0.12 |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100? · Yes | 0.851 | 0.994 | $5.05 | +$0.73 |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.695 | $3.52 | −$0.08 |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.238 | $3.10 | +$2.06 |
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.011 | $1.73 | −$0.07 |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.005 | $1.38 | −$1.13 |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels · Los Angeles Angels | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.61 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs · Hanwha Life Esports | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.13 |
| Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs · Imperial | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.14 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET · Up | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.06at 0.883UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$5.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12AM ET
- +$5.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9PM ET
- +$5.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12AM ET
- +$5.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 02:17 | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.60 |
| 09-08 14:06 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-08 14:06 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 09-08 13:53 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.795 | $15.90 |
| 09-08 13:32 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 09-08 12:59 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-08 12:40 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.50 |
| 08-31 03:12 | Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.96 | $4.88 |
| 08-17 02:14 | Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In | SELL | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 08-17 01:48 | Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 08-11 05:41 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.81 | $4.13 |
| 08-03 01:41 | Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.60 |
| 07-28 03:49 | Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.91 | $4.61 |
| 07-20 02:23 | Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs | BUY | 0.62 | $3.14 |
| 07-05 23:45 | Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.89 | $4.54 |