0x9656362BB076bf7B18a81EFeFe803a6cE56d4B6A-1769257604581
0x9656362bb076bf7b18a81efefe803a6ce56d4b6a
- Realised P&L
- $-529.52
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $344.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.76at 0.884Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$62.90at 0.751Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$35.12at 0.727Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$27.42at 0.610US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$22.95at 0.871Will the DHS shutdown end between February 24-27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 10:23 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.5742460523 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 10:23 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.5388343192 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.7625423344 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 10:18 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.5499999954 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.4675841447 | $30.00 |
| 10-02 14:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 13:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.66 | $104.76 |
| 10-02 13:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.83 | $727.42 |
| 10-02 12:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 09:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7499999991 | $200.00 |
| 10-02 09:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7499999963 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 22:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |