PolyBot

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Traders

0x9656362BB076bf7B18a81EFeFe803a6cE56d4B6A-1769257604581

0x9656362bb076bf7b18a81efefe803a6ce56d4b6a

Realised P&L
$-529.52
Volume
$13.7k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$344.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1600.165$103.13+$3.13
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 5? · Yes0.4680.575$36.89+$6.89
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 5? · Yes0.5800.645$33.36+$3.36
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 5? · Yes0.4300.455$31.74+$1.74
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 5? · Yes0.5500.545$29.73−$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 5? · Yes0.7620.745$29.31−$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5? · Yes0.5390.525$29.23−$0.77
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 5? · Yes0.4700.450$28.72−$1.28
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 5? · Yes0.5740.435$22.73−$7.27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$100.00
Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets0.6200.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 10:23Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 5?BUY0.5742460523$30.00
10-04 10:23Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 5?BUY0.4299999991$30.00
10-04 10:19Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5?BUY0.5388343192$30.00
10-04 10:19Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 5?BUY0.7625423344$30.00
10-04 10:18Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 5?BUY0.5499999954$30.00
10-04 10:16Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 5?BUY0.5799999992$30.00
10-04 10:15Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 5?BUY0.4699999944$30.00
10-04 10:14Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 5?BUY0.4675841447$30.00
10-02 14:04Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.16$100.00
10-02 13:53Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.66$104.76
10-02 13:53Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.83$727.42
10-02 12:33Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.6299999989$100.00
10-02 09:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.7499999991$200.00
10-02 09:00Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.7499999963$100.00
10-01 22:57Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.7399999988$100.00