PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9635985bfdeb2265db9d0e3649a018a87760a71f

Realised P&L
$-16.94
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
629
Open portfolio
$78.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded629
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$6.71$0.10
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$6.71$0.10
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$6.71$0.10
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$6.64$0.17
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.971$6.62$0.19
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.959$6.53$0.28
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.934$6.37$0.44
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026? · No0.9991.000$6.28+$0.00
Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.997$6.27$0.01
Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026? · No0.9990.998$6.27$0.01
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? · Yes0.9970.995$6.27$0.01
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.985$6.20$0.08
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9970.144$0.98$5.83
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt? · No0.9980.000$0.00$6.20
Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.1% and 0.3%? · No0.9900.000$0.00$6.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 03:56Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026?BUY0.999$6.28
09-18 01:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ETBUY0.99$6.28
09-17 23:58Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?BUY0.9969999997$6.28
09-17 22:55BNB Up or Down - September 17, 6PM ETBUY0.99$6.28
09-17 20:57Solana Up or Down - September 17, 4PM ETBUY0.999$4.56
09-17 20:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4PM ETBUY0.99$5.82
09-17 19:57XRP Up or Down - September 17, 3PM ETBUY0.95$5.85
09-17 19:56Solana Up or Down - September 17, 3PM ETBUY0.4599999748$5.85
09-17 09:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5AM ETBUY0.99$5.95
09-17 08:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4AM ETBUY0.998$5.95
09-17 04:58Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ETBUY0.999$5.95
09-17 03:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 11PM ETBUY0.9989999926$5.95
09-16 13:57XRP Up or Down - September 16, 9AM ETBUY0.995$5.86
09-16 13:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 9AM ETBUY0.9969999998$5.86
09-16 08:57Solana Up or Down - September 16, 4AM ETBUY0.4099999844$6.29