BridgeLake
0x961a3ebcc591e90255b590a1299c1fc4aba973ac
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $542.1k
- Markets traded
- 413
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded413
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? · No | 0.763 | 0.885 | $1.5k | +$206.60 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027? · No | 0.755 | 0.805 | $373.35 | +$23.14 |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.525 | $367.50 | +$94.50 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No | 0.168 | 0.075 | $195.19 | −$241.11 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.203 | $101.75 | +$32.00 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.085 | $99.31 | −$93.33 |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.035 | $40.37 | −$17.39 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.575 | 0.775 | $16.67 | +$4.31 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26? · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$155.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.078Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$1.3kat 0.484350k+ Tesla deliveries in Q1 2025?
- +$1.0kat 0.126Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
- +$884.04at 0.111Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$855.67at 0.733Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2025
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 12:55 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.995 | $995.00 |
| 10-26 12:54 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26? | BUY | 0.31 | $155.00 |
| 10-25 22:13 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $261.00 |
| 10-25 10:17 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $547.80 |
| 10-22 14:02 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $273.00 |
| 10-19 11:28 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $109.57 |
| 10-17 01:27 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.7681437013 | $327.57 |
| 10-16 23:27 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | SELL | 0.999 | $390.76 |
| 10-16 06:34 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | SELL | 0.9657214509 | $1.3k |
| 10-16 05:19 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.9667222222 | $696.04 |
| 10-16 02:59 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | SELL | 0.9678638123 | $1.7k |
| 10-16 01:51 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.9096380087 | $1.0k |
| 10-16 01:49 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | SELL | 0.9940236128 | $1.1k |
| 10-16 01:18 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.7988379845 | $206.10 |
| 10-16 01:16 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.01 |