0x95f5e9fa3f439611bbaff6118a453ceace1fb353
- Realised P&L
- $24.03
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $374.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No | 0.350 | 0.325 | $232.14 | −$17.86 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.260 | 0.235 | $36.15 | −$3.85 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.665 | $29.34 | −$0.66 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.231 | $23.97 | −$0.50 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.495 | $22.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.019 | $20.81 | −$8.44 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.085 | $9.71 | +$1.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.66at 0.466Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$17.71at 0.895Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-13.37at 0.409Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:52 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.0304248312 | $14.42 |
| 09-17 15:51 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.025 | $4.83 |
| 09-17 14:21 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2353461538 | $24.48 |
| 09-17 13:15 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.69 | $143.75 |
| 09-17 13:06 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.26 | $40.00 |
| 09-17 03:13 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $8.00 |
| 09-17 03:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 03:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.55 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 12:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | SELL | 0.36 | $81.82 |
| 09-16 12:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $150.00 |
| 09-16 12:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $90.91 |
| 09-16 12:43 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.4660279364 | $97.09 |
| 09-16 12:43 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.35 | $250.00 |