PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x95F51617E900F7d4df2894D77A73c1b2B269779F-1767804195553

0x95f51617e900f7d4df2894d77a73c1b2b269779f

Realised P&L
$-646.2k
Volume
$64.60M
Markets traded
36,857
Open portfolio
$78.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded36,857
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9300.968$24.19+$0.94
Seahawks vs. Chiefs · Chiefs0.0400.500$20.00+$18.40
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? · No0.4400.885$15.04+$7.57
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? · No0.1600.560$14.00+$10.00
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? · Yes0.1600.645$3.23+$2.42
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? · Yes0.3700.080$0.80−$2.90
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · Yes0.5200.075$0.62−$3.71
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31? · Yes0.1700.036$0.36−$1.33
Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET · Down0.4160.000$0.00−$59.78
XRP Up or Down - September 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$0.42
XRP Up or Down - September 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET · Down0.6300.000$0.00−$6.30
Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Down0.0550.000$0.00−$2.22
XRP Up or Down - September 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00−$0.66
Spread: SEA (-3.5) · SEA0.0100.000$0.00−$0.12
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00−$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 04:50Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)BUY0.1489090909$8.19
09-26 04:50Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle MarinersBUY0.0128461055$24.99
09-26 04:50Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)BUY0.052$2.29
09-26 03:24Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle MarinersBUY0.41$2.46
09-26 01:55Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City RoyalsBUY0.42$261.02
09-26 01:32Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)BUY0.2399999999$130.00
09-26 01:32St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.08$0.40
09-26 00:29New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsBUY0.26$22.64
09-26 00:26New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsBUY0.16$90.00
09-25 23:12Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.72$13.97
09-23 04:41Los Angeles Angels vs. AthleticsBUY0.88075$52.84
09-23 04:31Spread: Athletics (-2.5)BUY0.2090909091$11.50
09-23 02:23Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)BUY0.3531818182$3.89
09-23 02:23Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)BUY0.36$2.16
09-23 02:23Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)BUY0.36$2.16