0x95F51617E900F7d4df2894D77A73c1b2B269779F-1767804195553
0x95f51617e900f7d4df2894d77a73c1b2b269779f
- Realised P&L
- $-628.9k
- Volume
- $62.23M
- Markets traded
- 21,136
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded21,136
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox | 0.740 | 0.765 | $552.38 | +$18.23 |
| Washington Mystics vs. Chicago Sky · Washington Mystics | 0.680 | 0.685 | $548.00 | +$4.00 |
| Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5) · Washington Mystics | 0.599 | 0.580 | $542.63 | −$17.91 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros | 0.734 | 0.917 | $469.68 | +$93.98 |
| Washington Mystics vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5 · Over | 0.664 | 0.750 | $366.89 | +$42.02 |
| Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.670 | 0.840 | $294.00 | +$59.40 |
| Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) · Houston Astros | 0.470 | 0.800 | $246.32 | +$101.52 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.502 | 0.573 | $230.09 | +$28.44 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET · Down | 0.665 | 0.945 | $197.50 | +$58.59 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Boston Red Sox | 0.420 | 0.427 | $192.81 | +$3.16 |
| Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) · Houston Astros | 0.452 | 0.665 | $177.32 | +$56.69 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.506 | 0.695 | $162.66 | +$44.17 |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings · Dallas Wings | 0.686 | 0.735 | $134.19 | +$8.99 |
| Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) · Chicago White Sox | 0.533 | 0.640 | $122.28 | +$20.52 |
| Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) · Houston Astros | 0.798 | 0.945 | $97.87 | +$15.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$205.5kat 0.015Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$104.8kat 0.011France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$98.7kat 0.034Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$63.8kat 0.606Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$59.8kat 0.022England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:24 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.774 | $3.87 |
| 09-17 23:53 | Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 09-17 02:18 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.7 | $34.30 |
| 09-16 20:22 | Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | BUY | 0.0400488085 | $2.79 |
| 09-16 20:22 | Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) | BUY | 0.011 | $0.16 |
| 09-16 18:53 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.5340584416 | $164.49 |
| 09-16 18:53 | Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | BUY | 0.266 | $7.98 |
| 09-16 18:53 | Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-16 18:53 | Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2582453826 | $15.66 |
| 09-16 02:48 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.2599999999 | $145.00 |
| 09-16 01:27 | Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) | BUY | 0.1415 | $1.41 |
| 09-16 00:53 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.79 | $63.20 |
| 09-16 00:44 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.7099999995 | $380.00 |
| 09-16 00:40 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.65 | $60.42 |
| 09-16 00:30 | Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.72 | $4.32 |