PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

NoobDogg

0x9548010593184e7e45c771a7569d2ed8f1636bcb

Realised P&L
$-60.58
Volume
$15.6k
Markets traded
199
Open portfolio
$300.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded199
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1970.195$251.05$3.19
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · Yes0.0690.045$49.23$25.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Magic vs. Pistons · Magic0.2400.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or higher on April 29? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down0.0510.000$0.00$7.00
Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Up0.2020.000$0.00$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 29? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Up0.1600.000$0.00$5.00
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down0.3180.000$0.00$4.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.05$5.00
09-16 08:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.2$5.00
09-16 07:48Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026BUY0.081665245$25.00
09-16 07:47Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026BUY0.0634697267$50.00
09-15 06:13Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999996$44.17
09-14 20:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.109999989$1.00
09-14 20:37Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.2427184466$5.00
09-14 20:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSELL0.999$37.70
09-14 20:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.01$2.00
09-14 20:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.1799999986$5.00
09-14 20:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-14 20:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.1699999983$5.00
09-14 18:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.16$2.00
09-14 18:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-14 18:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.04$1.00