PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

skullyhoofd

0x953e1a5f7b933b246f7c1e611358897f8332465a

Realised P&L
$15.47
Volume
$15.4k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$53.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3500.154$15.45−$19.55
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1670.926$14.64+$12.00
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6910.965$9.68+$2.74
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027? · Yes0.4440.160$8.32−$14.78
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3400.055$4.13−$21.38
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0260.022$0.88−$0.16
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027? · Yes0.5000.154$0.73−$1.63
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$28.00
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$11.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-17 13:55Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?SELL0.03$0.91
04-17 13:55Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?SELL0.031$0.44
04-17 13:55Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?SELL0.03$0.77
04-17 13:54Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?SELL0.05$3.75
04-17 13:53Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?SELL0.043$0.64
03-23 21:16Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?SELL0.08$20.88
03-23 21:15Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?SELL0.09$2.25
03-23 21:12Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?SELL0.052$0.26
03-23 21:11Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?SELL0.054$0.27
03-23 21:11Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?SELL0.058$0.29
03-23 21:11Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?SELL0.061$0.30
03-23 21:11Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?SELL0.062$0.31
03-23 21:11Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?SELL0.063$0.32
03-16 08:05Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.44$11.00
02-02 13:43No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027BUY0.14$28.00