fgh5b
0x952546fa8924ce3a5e9e87a3b31d859f4d1be50a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $14.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.450 | 0.455 | $9.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.850 | $4.66 | +$0.66 |
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays · New York Yankees | 0.540 | 0.025 | $0.49 | −$10.31 |
| Oilers vs. Islanders · Oilers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Phillies vs. White Sox · Phillies | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks · Cavaliers | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.80 |
| Chiefs vs. Cowboys · Chiefs | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Rangers vs. Maple Leafs · Rangers | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.48 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Kraken vs. Flyers · Kraken | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$719.51at 0.410Packers vs. Lions
- +$700.00at 0.500Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)
- +$392.86at 0.560Jets vs. Flyers
- +$366.67at 0.450Blue Jays vs. Mariners
- +$208.47at 0.590Jets vs. Flames
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 12:38 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 10-05 12:36 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 09-21 09:37 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 09:37 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.487 | $48.67 |
| 09-01 09:56 | 49ers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.65 | $8.45 |
| 08-07 09:52 | New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.56 | $15.68 |
| 07-21 10:02 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.46 | $13.34 |
| 07-07 10:21 | Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Andreozzi/Guinard | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 03:36 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.729999958 | $4.00 |
| 06-26 03:30 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.66 | $18.48 |
| 06-16 12:58 | Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.61 | $14.64 |
| 05-15 10:58 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.56 | $16.80 |
| 04-20 10:16 | Ducks vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.62 | $12.00 |
| 02-28 04:32 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5789999979 | $57.86 |
| 11-28 07:09 | Suns vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.8899999919 | $47.00 |