PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tatitatitati

0x94fc776fc7541fac51a766de26a41e6d188542d2

Realised P&L
$106.97
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$315.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration82.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3490.675$154.64+$74.64
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.957$91.10+$11.10
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5500.765$67.92+$19.09
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · Yes0.6280.032$1.89$35.85
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 · Over0.6950.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 17:41AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?BUY0.6281690831$37.74
07-24 23:39Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8399999987$80.00
07-19 21:19Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.705$24.00
07-19 18:41Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5874999912$20.00
07-19 18:41Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.6949999983$100.00
07-19 18:39Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?SELL0.0122918646$2.46
07-17 18:37Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?SELL0.1896849974$277.36
07-17 18:29Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?BUY0.3899999982$100.00
07-17 18:28Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?BUY0.3902439024$200.00
07-17 18:26Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?SELL0.5655759988$75.31
07-16 21:41Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6007401088$80.00
07-16 21:40Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?BUY0.1153888815$80.00
07-15 21:59Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.3494461255$80.00
07-15 21:06Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?SELL0.525880047$26.83
07-15 20:57England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5SELL0.1049904373$24.70