tatitatitati
0x94fc776fc7541fac51a766de26a41e6d188542d2
- Realised P&L
- $106.97
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $315.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.349 | 0.675 | $154.64 | +$74.64 |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.957 | $91.10 | +$11.10 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.765 | $67.92 | +$19.09 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · Yes | 0.628 | 0.032 | $1.89 | −$35.85 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.695 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$338.94at 0.395Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
- +$37.19at 0.622Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$15.93at 0.757Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$14.21at 0.774Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
- +$3.23at 0.600Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 17:41 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | BUY | 0.6281690831 | $37.74 |
| 07-24 23:39 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999987 | $80.00 |
| 07-19 21:19 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.705 | $24.00 |
| 07-19 18:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5874999912 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 18:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6949999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 18:39 | Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.0122918646 | $2.46 |
| 07-17 18:37 | Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.1896849974 | $277.36 |
| 07-17 18:29 | Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 18:28 | Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.3902439024 | $200.00 |
| 07-17 18:26 | Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5655759988 | $75.31 |
| 07-16 21:41 | Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6007401088 | $80.00 |
| 07-16 21:40 | Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.1153888815 | $80.00 |
| 07-15 21:59 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3494461255 | $80.00 |
| 07-15 21:06 | Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19? | SELL | 0.525880047 | $26.83 |
| 07-15 20:57 | England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.1049904373 | $24.70 |