PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

holymolyly

0x94de352386a3ca843f7caa44576beebb70160847

Realised P&L
$-305.89
Volume
$212.9k
Markets traded
556
Open portfolio
$83.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded556
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.1490.895$50.33+$41.93
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30? · No0.5901.000$24.47+$10.03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.5501.000$4.57+$2.06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.2000.029$2.85−$17.15
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4800.175$0.44−$0.76
Will Ted Cruz be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026? · Yes0.0050.002$0.31−$0.71
Will Ben Carson be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026? · Yes0.0040.002$0.29−$0.33
Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026? · Yes0.0030.002$0.22−$0.27
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes0.0070.003$0.21−$0.28
Will Rand Paul be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026? · Yes0.0060.002$0.20−$0.61
Will Meta (META) finish week of February 16 above $640? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C or below on February 22? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on February 20? · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-01 03:05Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.61$3.89
04-01 03:05Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?BUY0.5899999898$14.44
03-02 02:18Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2$20.00
02-23 08:23Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY0.1153083667$34.59
02-23 08:22Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY0.0098339267$29.50
02-20 21:02Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 19?BUY0.008$0.11
02-20 21:02Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 20?BUY0.001$1.00
02-20 21:02Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on February 20?BUY0.001$0.28
02-20 21:02Will Meta (META) close above $660 on February 20?BUY0.001$0.08
02-20 21:02Will Meta (META) close above $620 on February 20?BUY0.001$0.08
02-20 21:02Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on February 20?BUY0.001$0.08
02-20 21:02Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on February 20?BUY0.001$0.71
02-20 21:02Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on February 20?BUY0.001$0.08
02-20 21:02Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on February 20?BUY0.001$0.08
02-20 21:02Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on February 20?BUY0.001$0.08