dd888
0x94dbe534b246914a9392a8094030679b51e12e58
- Realised P&L
- $-26.34
- Volume
- $92.2k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $89.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.645 | $25.80 | +$3.80 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.590 | $23.60 | +$0.40 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.971 | 0.973 | $14.59 | +$0.02 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.325 | $13.00 | +$1.80 |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $3,000 | 0.640 | 0.640 | $12.80 | +$0.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Up | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.96 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) · Bilibili Gaming | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.05 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) · G2 Esports | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.55 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs PSG Talon (BO1) · PSG Talon | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.32 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.13at 0.530Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
- +$12.72at 0.984Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$9.60at 0.006Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$9.19at 0.810Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$7.80at 0.688Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 17:14 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $14.56 |
| 10-31 17:14 | Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 10-31 17:13 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.55 | $22.00 |
| 10-31 17:13 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.58 | $23.20 |
| 06-04 17:35 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in June? | BUY | 0.991 | $110.99 |
| 06-04 17:33 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.98 |
| 06-04 17:33 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $11.66 |
| 06-04 17:33 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $15.97 |
| 05-14 16:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $110.78 |
| 05-14 16:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $120.64 |
| 05-14 16:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 15:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 04-28 15:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.95 |
| 04-28 15:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.98 |
| 04-28 15:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.95 |