danmed
0x94d4feeed43ad8b47ae0d29db252fff61e0965ee
- Realised P&L
- $341.49
- Volume
- $1.48M
- Markets traded
- 221
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded221
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.423Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$1.9kat 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.391Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.470Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$1.4kat 0.123Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 00:02 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.042 | $30.32 |
| 08-23 23:53 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0119659281 | $105.78 |
| 08-23 23:31 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.01 | $17.22 |
| 08-23 23:22 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.045 | $19.61 |
| 08-23 22:55 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0438479006 | $288.28 |
| 08-23 22:33 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.38 |
| 08-23 22:33 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.35 |
| 08-23 22:20 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.01 | $65.95 |
| 08-23 22:20 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $29.56 |
| 08-23 22:20 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $48.80 |
| 08-23 22:20 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $13.08 |
| 08-23 22:19 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.79 |
| 08-23 22:19 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.043 | $476.74 |
| 08-23 22:18 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.042 | $55.82 |
| 08-23 22:18 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.041 | $18.20 |