PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x94ce08B7eeaD0A58d9d7e0EE52028A30eFdCA9FA-1780435589258

0x94ce08b7eead0a58d9d7e0ee52028a30efdca9fa

Realised P&L
$-23.1k
Volume
$540.8k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1300.054$1.1k$1.5k
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit? · No0.6710.735$386.28+$33.52
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? · Yes0.5090.200$135.19$209.07
Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026? · No0.7470.000$0.00$258.21
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4450.000$0.00$3.6k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30? · No0.0600.000$0.00$1.4k
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$130.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 22:05Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?BUY0.548$4.30
09-23 22:04Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?BUY0.6981947138$52.57
09-23 22:04Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?BUY0.7$140.00
09-23 22:03Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?BUY0.3933372887$10.94
09-23 22:03Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?BUY0.36183352$90.46
09-23 22:03Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?BUY0.7518737163$113.48
09-23 22:02Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?BUY0.644814002$176.29
09-23 22:02Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?BUY0.6199999953$31.50
09-23 22:02Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?BUY0.6246812762$31.50
09-15 22:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.13$997.54
08-30 21:30Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7467750817$258.21
08-12 22:26Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?BUY0.999$5.00
08-12 22:26Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?BUY0.999$5.00
08-12 22:26Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?BUY0.999$5.00
08-12 22:26Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?BUY0.999$5.00