0x94805dE5C2970255F295626323Cdb5ADd97af463-1778963982452
0x94805de5c2970255f295626323cdb5add97af463
- Realised P&L
- $-348.97
- Volume
- $33.6k
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $68.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.84at 0.136Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$94.03at 0.304Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?
- +$69.21at 0.247Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$57.00at 0.280Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?
- +$54.00at 0.200Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 07:02 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $20.47 |
| 10-05 14:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | BUY | 0.2959427193 | $40.00 |
| 09-29 18:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.1160138809 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 16:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | SELL | 0.4148441667 | $49.78 |
| 09-20 10:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.3492068012 | $35.00 |
| 09-19 05:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $144.93 |
| 09-16 07:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.5627388463 | $31.00 |
| 09-08 18:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $6.00 |
| 09-02 06:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.4551526158 | $20.00 |
| 08-24 16:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.3499999955 | $47.09 |
| 08-18 15:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $151.00 |
| 08-03 20:12 | Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.2609298074 | $70.00 |
| 08-02 07:16 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.09 | $31.50 |
| 08-01 07:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0172993404 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 19:32 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $49.70 |