PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x945F0f0A93DC73867e0CFD97f9D41D96960F38F0-1771963160698

0x945f0f0a93dc73867e0cfd97f9d41d96960f38f0

Realised P&L
$-72.21
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$18.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Clécio Luís win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election? · Yes0.3090.327$16.35+$0.90
Will Kam Buckner win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election? · Yes0.0800.068$1.35−$0.25
Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · Yes0.0010.003$0.67+$0.40
Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · Yes0.0120.067$0.17+$0.14
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner · Nigma Galaxy0.3900.000$0.00−$100.00
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner · PARIVISION0.2130.000$0.00−$12.80
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$17.49
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner · Team Spirit0.1550.000$0.00−$31.00
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 · BetBoom Team0.2200.000$0.00−$3.61
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 · Aurora0.0030.000$0.00−$6.60
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner · MOUZ0.2600.000$0.00−$5.20
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner · Team Falcons0.0790.000$0.00−$12.31
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner · MOUZ0.2400.000$0.00−$4.80
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner · Team Falcons0.3400.000$0.00−$10.00
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 · BetBoom Team0.3000.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 00:02Will Clécio Luís win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?BUY0.309$15.45
09-25 23:54Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?BUY0.012$0.03
08-21 11:18Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.01$1.00
08-21 10:47Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.3$30.00
08-21 08:03Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4499999955$50.00
08-20 17:36Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSELL0.999$237.85
08-20 17:04Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.15$15.00
08-20 17:01Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.037$1.09
08-20 15:57Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.4199999977$100.00
08-20 15:56Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$249.75
08-20 12:43Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.051$2.55
08-20 12:36Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.02$1.00
08-20 12:11Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4$100.00
08-20 12:11Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.3899999982$100.00
03-10 14:41US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.0699999965$17.49