0x945F0f0A93DC73867e0CFD97f9D41D96960F38F0-1771963160698
0x945f0f0a93dc73867e0cfd97f9d41d96960f38f0
- Realised P&L
- $-72.21
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $18.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.74at 0.412Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
- +$134.95at 0.432Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- +$16.58at 0.170Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
- +$16.38at 0.180Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
- +$15.18at 0.240Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 00:02 | Will Clécio Luís win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.309 | $15.45 |
| 09-25 23:54 | Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.03 |
| 08-21 11:18 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 10:47 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 08-21 08:03 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4499999955 | $50.00 |
| 08-20 17:36 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $237.85 |
| 08-20 17:04 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 08-20 17:01 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.037 | $1.09 |
| 08-20 15:57 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 15:56 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $249.75 |
| 08-20 12:43 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.051 | $2.55 |
| 08-20 12:36 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 12:11 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 12:11 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 03-10 14:41 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $17.49 |