cxvsdee
0x943e5e7a5529ce05b6a1b9b023a64c3702d432d6
- Realised P&L
- $7.29
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $102.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.025 | $102.65 | −$20.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.57at 0.798Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
- +$10.44at 0.830EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
- +$0.00at 0.961Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$0.00at 0.105Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$-2.48at 0.844Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 06:59 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $28.80 |
| 07-30 06:59 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $16.33 |
| 07-30 06:59 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $14.30 |
| 07-30 06:58 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $10.50 |
| 07-30 06:39 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $19.02 |
| 07-30 06:38 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $18.04 |
| 06-26 06:50 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.105 | $217.77 |
| 06-06 02:00 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $433.26 |
| 06-05 11:14 | Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | SELL | 0.92 | $554.76 |
| 05-30 07:09 | Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | BUY | 0.798 | $481.19 |
| 05-11 01:33 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.839 | $416.97 |
| 04-25 09:15 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8439999999 | $419.46 |
| 03-21 06:31 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.961 | $98.02 |
| 03-21 06:25 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.961 | $526.63 |