itzonlysmellzzz
0x93cb21649303a1672675277692eee979fb531516
- Realised P&L
- $-29.07
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $97.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.694 | 0.695 | $54.96 | +$0.10 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.305 | $24.81 | −$1.75 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.165 | $7.44 | +$1.13 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $4.64 | −$0.36 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.045 | $2.81 | −$2.19 |
| Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.007 | $2.69 | −$2.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.33at 0.589Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
- +$28.60at 0.651Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
- +$13.26at 0.615Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$9.48at 0.692Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
- +$6.30at 0.893Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 11:57 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $21.65 |
| 09-05 11:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999952 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 11:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 09-05 11:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8499999983 | $50.00 |
| 09-05 11:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $25.53 |
| 09-05 11:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999982 | $50.00 |
| 09-05 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999956 | $50.00 |
| 09-05 11:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $50.00 |
| 09-05 11:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 11:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 11:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $13.53 |
| 09-05 11:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.36 |
| 09-05 11:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $9.04 |
| 09-05 11:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.13 |
| 09-05 11:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $20.00 |