PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

itzonlysmellzzz

0x93cb21649303a1672675277692eee979fb531516

Realised P&L
$-29.07
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$97.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6940.695$54.96+$0.10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3260.305$24.81$1.75
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1400.165$7.44+$1.13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0700.065$4.64$0.36
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.045$2.81$2.19
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0140.007$2.69$2.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 11:57Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.87$21.65
09-05 11:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.4799999952$20.00
09-05 11:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.5799999988$50.00
09-05 11:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.8499999983$50.00
09-05 11:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETSELL0.24$25.53
09-05 11:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.4699999982$50.00
09-05 11:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.5499999956$50.00
09-05 11:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.6099999961$50.00
09-05 11:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.32$20.00
09-05 11:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.6499999935$20.00
09-05 11:14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.86$13.53
09-05 11:13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.48$4.36
09-05 11:12Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.24$9.04
09-05 11:12Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.13$1.13
09-05 11:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETBUY0.03$20.00