0x93c4A40c74f12Be57f2e46447abfa48a11CBA096-1762374531654
0x93c4a40c74f12be57f2e46447abfa48a11cba096
- Realised P&L
- $10.63
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $66.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.45at 0.159Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$24.29at 0.174Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.03at 0.457Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$5.82at 0.741Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$5.67at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:30 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 10:30 | Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.1371326798 | $11.00 |
| 09-15 06:05 | Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 06:03 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 17:16 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 05:30 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 05:27 | Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 05:25 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 05:24 | Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 05:23 | Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 12:35 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 12:34 | Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 16:55 | Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 16:55 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 08:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | SELL | 0.5652091255 | $7.43 |