PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

musiepon

0x93b77008dea1a1a0b3e1768a990a8bb835657d51

Realised P&L
$30.3k
Volume
$1.92M
Markets traded
444
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded444
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.7300.790$1.0k+$78.40
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? · Yes0.6800.695$464.20+$10.06
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7250.729$364.40+$1.75
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.6900.815$244.50+$37.50
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? · Yes0.5900.590$236.00+$0.00
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.3450.345$203.19−$0.25
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No0.7500.785$157.00+$7.00
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.4200.420$84.00+$0.00
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.4880.275$55.00−$42.53
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch? · No0.6000.805$18.08+$4.60
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch? · No0.7500.835$9.53+$0.97
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.2950.000$0.00−$945.89
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.6410.000$0.00−$82.97
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$16.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Up0.2620.000$0.00−$10.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 10:15Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?BUY0.75$150.00
10-14 19:29Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.69$207.00
10-14 19:25Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.3485896597$170.45
10-14 19:20Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.33$33.00
10-14 19:18Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.73$936.33
10-13 11:16Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.24$5.18
10-13 11:16Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.42$84.00
10-13 11:16Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.725$362.65
09-01 10:58StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.76$0.13
08-26 20:36Over $1.5M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?BUY0.22$4.40
08-26 13:10Over $2M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?BUY0.57$53.02
08-26 13:10Over $1.5M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?BUY0.4995238095$52.45
08-26 12:26Over $1M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?SELL0.62$124.00
08-26 12:21Over $2M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?SELL0.1013243797$22.26
08-26 12:19Over $2M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale?SELL0.1381461287$31.67