0x9377c72f6183972ac2f0c41ae720e98cdfca2f06
0x9377c72f6183972ac2f0c41ae720e98cdfca2f06
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $743.2k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $8.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.065 | $8.2k | −$1.0k |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.575Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?
- +$605.35at 0.810LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner
- +$284.82at 0.822Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?
- +$155.40at 0.712Lisbon: Thiago Monteiro vs Alejandro Moro Canas
- +$111.73at 0.632Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 17:21 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.4399999682 | $2.77 |
| 10-20 20:09 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.3699999999 | $949.59 |
| 10-19 15:06 | Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis | BUY | 0.8199999998 | $526.12 |
| 10-19 15:06 | Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume | SELL | 0.93 | $538.12 |
| 10-19 15:05 | Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume | BUY | 0.94 | $543.91 |
| 10-19 14:49 | Lisbon: Thiago Monteiro vs Alejandro Moro Canas | SELL | 0.999 | $551.03 |
| 10-19 13:04 | Lisbon: Thiago Monteiro vs Alejandro Moro Canas | BUY | 0.6981890341 | $385.11 |
| 10-19 11:25 | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BUY | 0.7599999998 | $298.63 |
| 10-18 15:55 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.6172625002 | $187.49 |
| 10-17 21:50 | Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries | SELL | 0.0407131094 | $199.51 |
| 10-17 21:32 | Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.6522396779 | $3.2k |
| 10-17 21:22 | LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $3.3k |
| 10-17 20:58 | LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.797936188 | $2.6k |
| 10-17 20:56 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.7k |
| 10-17 18:58 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | 0.0108910891 | $1.90 |