0x9366052317c27675ceb005698e613813d82e6350
0x9366052317c27675ceb005698e613813d82e6350
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $237.8k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $7.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.196Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.0kat 0.737Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.654Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$1.1kat 0.734Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Nastasja Schunk
- +$1.1kat 0.685Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 06:09 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.1782564228 | $464.41 |
| 10-07 06:07 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.0081265245 | $23.90 |
| 10-03 01:11 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4578485739 | $450.00 |
| 10-02 11:05 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.5599999974 | $85.00 |
| 10-02 11:04 | Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.519999999 | $150.00 |
| 10-02 11:04 | Will Croatia vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $150.00 |
| 10-02 11:04 | Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.8497990225 | $200.00 |
| 10-02 11:04 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.92 | $200.00 |
| 10-02 11:03 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.617223473 | $200.00 |
| 10-02 11:03 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.679999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-02 11:03 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $200.00 |
| 09-30 11:14 | Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5899999995 | $300.00 |
| 09-30 11:13 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4799999996 | $200.00 |
| 09-30 11:09 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8104291994 | $1.1k |
| 09-29 20:06 | Will Estonia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $100.00 |