PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x934950103B94aDd22Bfb04CF84eb9aE4427C8552-1773649205190

0x934950103b94add22bfb04cf84eb9ae4427c8552

Realised P&L
$-2.62
Volume
$91.87
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$4.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.4200.405$2.02−$0.07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? · Yes0.9740.978$1.61+$0.01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4500.165$0.77−$1.33
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? · Yes0.5160.000$0.00−$1.60
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$3.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$2.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 02:47US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?BUY0.9739999951$1.60
10-09 02:38Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsBUY0.34$1.70
09-21 02:45Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.9689999806$1.70
09-15 02:24Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.862999991$1.63
08-28 02:47Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?BUY0.579999942$1.20
08-13 09:06Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.96$5.36
08-06 07:30Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9889999987$5.16
07-28 03:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.5159998762$1.60
07-20 06:54Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.9857166637$1.67
07-13 03:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.9689999885$2.20
07-07 02:29Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.42$2.10
06-30 03:43US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9689999981$5.23
06-22 09:43Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY0.975$2.30
06-15 02:42US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?BUY0.7399999178$1.80
06-05 03:11Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.976999611$1.10