0x934950103B94aDd22Bfb04CF84eb9aE4427C8552-1773649205190
0x934950103b94add22bfb04cf84eb9ae4427c8552
- Realised P&L
- $-2.62
- Volume
- $91.87
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $4.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.405 | $2.02 | −$0.07 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? · Yes | 0.974 | 0.978 | $1.61 | +$0.01 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.165 | $0.77 | −$1.33 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? · Yes | 0.516 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.24at 0.351Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
- +$0.84at 0.592Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?
- +$0.72at 0.730US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.34at 0.940Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
- +$0.25at 0.868Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:47 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? | BUY | 0.9739999951 | $1.60 |
| 10-09 02:38 | Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 09-21 02:45 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.9689999806 | $1.70 |
| 09-15 02:24 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.862999991 | $1.63 |
| 08-28 02:47 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.579999942 | $1.20 |
| 08-13 09:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.36 |
| 08-06 07:30 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999987 | $5.16 |
| 07-28 03:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.5159998762 | $1.60 |
| 07-20 06:54 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9857166637 | $1.67 |
| 07-13 03:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.9689999885 | $2.20 |
| 07-07 02:29 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 06-30 03:43 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9689999981 | $5.23 |
| 06-22 09:43 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $2.30 |
| 06-15 02:42 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999178 | $1.80 |
| 06-05 03:11 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.976999611 | $1.10 |