0x9348f608d6d10c5e1b522e026248637ef0cb96f5
0x9348f608d6d10c5e1b522e026248637ef0cb96f5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.89
- Volume
- $256.71
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $6.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.975 | $3.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.240 | $2.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.075 | $0.63 | −$1.37 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.065 | $0.25 | −$1.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.94at 0.258S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$5.46at 0.274Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?
- +$2.95at 0.410Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$2.59at 0.442Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:37 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 01:04 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 10:24 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 02:24 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 05:35 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 19:06 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 10:57 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 14:34 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 02:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 22:17 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 07:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 22:02 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 13:06 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 11:13 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 19:32 | Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |